Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 141.280563 161.422208 183.849632 210.750237 242.239848 278.053712 322.039502
2025-11-16 112.262022 138.145998 169.522330 210.650810 263.572787 329.960831 420.461429
2025-11-23 95.190652 123.312325 159.485581 209.998306 279.619238 373.537769 512.113415
2025-11-30 84.334676 113.845063 153.669476 212.241412 297.721708 420.341330 614.030167
2025-12-07 73.204788 102.138128 142.722850 204.992948 300.265255 444.141824 684.970683
2025-12-14 65.719049 94.439048 136.147635 202.646405 308.890661 477.173834 774.641534
2025-12-21 60.794359 89.788801 133.282338 205.180159 324.880469 523.375379 893.399303
2025-12-28 58.002441 87.960295 134.332616 213.748790 351.454513 590.503531 1060.735615
2026-01-04 54.819318 85.127102 133.386609 218.732053 372.338379 650.533735 1226.064112
2026-01-11 50.743173 80.424266 128.856883 216.941144 380.757443 688.814431 1355.633378
2026-01-18 48.369251 78.271307 128.298484 221.939542 402.101403 754.475979 1554.606491
2026-01-25 45.529046 75.051204 125.557653 222.576113 415.067546 805.334249 1731.602214
2026-02-01 42.852206 72.158427 123.604379 225.448423 434.930566 878.082085 1987.062411
2026-02-08 39.974272 68.677216 120.308571 225.496976 449.487398 943.286635 2245.058722
2026-02-15 37.325936 65.338410 116.890951 224.798012 462.262289 1006.872582 2516.990402
2026-02-22 35.340235 63.022174 115.137897 227.222926 482.219011 1091.095756 2869.839149
2026-03-01 32.400293 58.630049 108.906081 219.388834 477.511240 1114.219898 3055.147038
2026-03-08 30.326422 55.723903 105.331253 216.853355 484.871969 1169.423046 3354.622700
2026-03-15 28.974936 54.111734 104.204253 219.591134 505.465899 1263.766206 3810.116974
2026-03-22 28.336852 53.861863 105.852403 228.852480 544.014643 1416.030787 4516.735443
2026-03-29 27.385013 52.883574 105.853313 234.240514 573.468666 1549.298430 5209.736263
2026-04-05 25.899061 50.669634 102.969734 232.303977 582.909118 1625.021917 5716.220991
2026-04-12 25.100616 49.840622 103.053332 237.709260 613.705715 1774.681161 6583.651821